{r analysis, include = FALSE} #source('synthetic_control_analysis.R', local = TRUE) #
Brazil Results
combine estimates
| 0 |
0.84 (0.75, 0.99) |
0.86 (0.74, 0.99) |
0.95 (0.81, 1.08) |
| 1 |
0.77 (0.73, 0.81) |
0.72 (0.63, 0.86) |
0.82 (0.72, 0.91) |
| 2 |
0.77 (0.73, 0.83) |
0.78 (0.68, 0.91) |
0.78 (0.73, 0.85) |
| 3 |
0.79 (0.67, 0.85) |
0.82 (0.74, 0.91) |
0.81 (0.73, 0.9) |
| 4 |
0.81 (0.74, 0.94) |
0.78 (0.68, 0.92) |
0.75 (0.66, 0.87) |
| 5 |
0.81 (0.73, 0.9) |
0.89 (0.78, 1.01) |
0.82 (0.7, 0.97) |
| 6 |
0.86 (0.77, 0.94) |
0.94 (0.85, 1.04) |
0.85 (0.76, 0.94) |
| 7 |
0.95 (0.84, 1.03) |
0.97 (0.89, 1.06) |
0.96 (0.87, 1.06) |
| 8 |
0.99 (0.89, 1.12) |
0.99 (0.91, 1.08) |
0.99 (0.91, 1.08) |
| 9 |
0.75 (0.71, 0.86) |
0.74 (0.66, 0.83) |
0.84 (0.75, 0.94) |
Plot of Rate ratios, with size proportional to cross validation weights

Weights for each of the models from cross validation
| 0 |
0.886 |
0.104 |
0.010 |
0.000 |
| 1 |
0.977 |
0.023 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
| 2 |
1.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
| 3 |
0.000 |
0.769 |
0.231 |
0.000 |
| 4 |
0.222 |
0.000 |
0.778 |
0.000 |
| 5 |
0.796 |
0.021 |
0.183 |
0.000 |
| 6 |
0.873 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.127 |
| 7 |
0.926 |
0.074 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
| 8 |
0.036 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.964 |
| 9 |
0.870 |
0.130 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
Inclusion Probabilities
| 0 |
E00_99 |
1.0000000 |
cJ20_J22 |
1.0000000 |
ach_noj |
0.2811458 |
| 1 |
E40_46 |
1.0000000 |
cJ20_J22 |
1.0000000 |
K00_99 |
0.0652262 |
| 2 |
E40_46 |
1.0000000 |
cJ20_J22 |
1.0000000 |
P00_99 |
0.3800618 |
| 3 |
cJ20_J22 |
0.4703603 |
K00_99 |
0.4354719 |
P00_99 |
0.3288031 |
| 4 |
pandemic |
1.0000000 |
N39 |
0.8615424 |
N00_99 |
0.8544601 |
| 5 |
A41 |
1.0000000 |
pandemic |
1.0000000 |
K80 |
0.6138332 |
| 6 |
pandemic |
1.0000000 |
E00_99 |
0.5546701 |
L00_99 |
0.4600581 |
| 7 |
I00_99 |
0.6812418 |
H00_99_SY |
0.4135920 |
A41 |
0.3711638 |
| 8 |
A41 |
0.6622020 |
I00_99 |
0.3204682 |
H00_99_SY |
0.2097625 |
| 9 |
E40_46 |
1.0000000 |
cJ20_J22 |
1.0000000 |
Z00_99 |
0.0573246 |
Weight Sensitivity Analysis
| 0 |
0.84 (0.75, 1.04) |
cJ20_J22 |
1 |
0.9 (0.72, 1.14) |
E00_99 |
1 |
0.91 (0.72, 1.13) |
M00_99 |
0.4 |
0.92 (0.67, 1.15) |
| 1 |
0.77 (0.73, 0.82) |
cJ20_J22 |
1 |
0.75 (0.69, 0.85) |
E40_46 |
1 |
0.75 (0.68, 0.9) |
K00_99 |
0.22 |
0.75 (0.7, 0.89) |
| 2 |
0.77 (0.73, 0.87) |
cJ20_J22 |
1 |
0.81 (0.74, 0.96) |
E40_46 |
1 |
0.77 (0.67, 0.95) |
N39 |
0.45 |
0.76 (0.68, 0.9) |
| 3 |
0.78 (0.72, 0.94) |
cJ20_J22 |
0.86 |
0.78 (0.7, 0.88) |
P00_99 |
0.51 |
0.77 (0.7, 0.85) |
G00_99_SY |
0.4 |
0.8 (0.75, 0.9) |
| 4 |
0.78 (0.67, 0.87) |
pandemic |
1 |
0.74 (0.54, 0.83) |
Z00_99 |
0.82 |
0.71 (0.62, 0.83) |
E00_99 |
0.76 |
0.71 (0.62, 0.86) |
| 5 |
0.81 (0.71, 0.92) |
pandemic |
1 |
0.62 (0.54, 0.84) |
I00_99 |
0.95 |
0.64 (0.55, 0.81) |
A41 |
0.88 |
0.69 (0.57, 0.92) |
| 6 |
1.05 (0.82, 1.15) |
pandemic |
1 |
0.86 (0.69, 0.97) |
E00_99 |
0.94 |
0.81 (0.67, 0.92) |
K80 |
0.3 |
0.82 (0.68, 0.98) |
| 7 |
1.13 (1.02, 1.46) |
E00_99 |
0.96 |
0.91 (0.82, 1.31) |
P00_99 |
0.34 |
0.91 (0.81, 1.17) |
cJ20_J22 |
0.29 |
0.96 (0.85, 1.19) |
| 8 |
0.97 (0.88, 1.17) |
A41 |
0.82 |
1.04 (0.93, 1.17) |
I00_99 |
0.34 |
1.02 (0.87, 1.15) |
I60_64 |
0.28 |
1.03 (0.91, 1.19) |
| 9 |
0.75 (0.71, 0.91) |
cJ20_J22 |
1 |
0.74 (0.67, 0.92) |
E40_46 |
1 |
0.84 (0.76, 0.95) |
C00_D48 |
0.15 |
0.77 (0.68, 0.86) |